01 · Disjoint sum
A is at most 2 and B is at least 5 on one fair die roll. Find P(A∪B).
Hint
The sets {1,2} and {5,6} do not overlap.
Worked solution
2/6+2/6=4/6=2/3. Outcomes 3 and 4 are outside the union.
Understand · explore · practise
Recognise events that cannot occur together, use the correct addition rule, and distinguish disjoint, complementary, exhaustive and independent events.
Before you startSample spaces, unions and intersections.
01 / Can both events happen?
Mutually exclusive means A ∩ B = ∅.
Consequently P(A ∩ B)=0, so P(A ∪ B)=P(A)+P(B).
For a single roll, even and odd cannot both occur. For two different rolls, “first roll even” and “second roll odd” can both occur: specifying the experiment matters.
A fair six-sided die is rolled once. Select two events and inspect their shared outcomes.
Even {2,4,6} and odd {1,3,5} share no outcomes. They are mutually exclusive and their union is the whole sample space.
02 / Use the full rule first
Pause, replay or seek freely. The notes explain the same idea and stay in view.
A={2,4,6}; B={5,6}; A∩B={6}
Outcome 6 satisfies both events, so they are not mutually exclusive.
P(A∪B)=3/6+2/6−1/6=4/6=2/3
Subtract the shared outcome once.
The union is {2,4,5,6}
Counting distinct outcomes confirms the result.
A is at most 2 and B is at least 5 on one fair die roll. Find P(A∪B).
The sets {1,2} and {5,6} do not overlap.
2/6+2/6=4/6=2/3. Outcomes 3 and 4 are outside the union.
A is at most 4 and B is at least 3. Find their intersection and union probabilities.
List both sets.
Intersection={3,4}, probability 2/6=1/3. Union={1,2,3,4,5,6}, probability 1. These events are exhaustive but not mutually exclusive.
03 / Disjoint does not always mean complementary
A and A′ are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.
Exhaustive means their union is the whole sample space.
Why are “at most 2” and “at least 5” not complements?
Which outcomes are left out?
They exclude 3 and 4 from their union. The complement of at most 2 is greater than 2, namely {3,4,5,6}.
If P(A)=0.37, find P(A′).
A and A′ partition the sample space.
P(A′)=1−0.37=0.63.
04 / More than two disjoint events
The categories are pairwise disjoint
No result belongs to two categories.
They are exhaustive
Every possible result belongs to one category.
Each has probability 1/3 and the total is1
Together they form a partition.
Three disjoint exhaustive events have probabilities 0.18,0.47 and p. Find p.
Their probabilities sum to 1.
p=1−0.18−0.47=0.35.
Three pairwise-disjoint events have probabilities 0.18,0.47 and 0.20. What is the probability of none?
Their union has probability 0.85.
P(none)=1−(0.18+0.47+0.20)=0.15.
05 / Exclusivity and independence answer different questions
Independence requires P(A ∩ B)=P(A)P(B).
If both probabilities are positive, mutually exclusive events cannot be independent.
Their intersection probability is0
They cannot occur together.
P(even)P(odd)=1/4
This is not equal to the intersection probability.
Therefore they are not independent
Knowing the result is even rules out odd.
Let A be even and B be a multiple of 3 on one fair die roll. Are these independent?
Compare the intersection probability with the product.
A={2,4,6}, B={3,6}, intersection={6}. P(A∩B)=1/6=(1/2)(1/3), so yes. They are not mutually exclusive because6 is shared.
The empty event is disjoint from every event. Can it also be independent of an event B?
Compare0 with0×P(B).
Yes. Both equal0. The statement that exclusive events cannot be independent needs both probabilities to be positive.
06 / Define events precisely
On two independent fair die rolls, A means first roll even and B means second roll odd. Are they mutually exclusive?
Give an outcome in both.
No: the ordered outcome (2,3) satisfies both. They are independent and P(A∩B)=1/4.
Can two mutually exclusive events have probabilities 0.7 and 0.5?
Their union must have probability at most 1.
No. Their probabilities would add to 1.2. Such events must overlap by at least 0.2.
07 / Explain the rule you choose
In a finite sample space where every outcome has positive probability, P(A∩B)=0. What follows?
A nonempty intersection would contain a positive-probability outcome.
The intersection must be empty, so the events are mutually exclusive. This inference uses the stated positive-probability finite setting.
If A and B are mutually exclusive with probabilities 0.25 and 0.4, find the probability of exactly one.
Both is impossible.
Exactly one equals the union, giving 0.25+0.4=0.65.
08 / State the experiment and inspect the overlap
Mutually exclusive events cannot occur together. Complementary events are also exhaustive. Independence concerns a product rule for the intersection, so positive-probability exclusive events are dependent. Use a short outcome list to test your interpretation.
Section 1 of 8 · Can both events happen?