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Mutually exclusive events

Recognise events that cannot occur together, use the correct addition rule, and distinguish disjoint, complementary, exhaustive and independent events.

Before you startSample spaces, unions and intersections.

01 / Can both events happen?

Mutually exclusive events share no outcomes.

Mutually exclusive means A ∩ B = ∅.

Consequently P(A ∩ B)=0, so P(A ∪ B)=P(A)+P(B).

For a single roll, even and odd cannot both occur. For two different rolls, “first roll even” and “second roll odd” can both occur: specifying the experiment matters.

Compare events on one die rollExplore

A fair six-sided die is rolled once. Select two events and inspect their shared outcomes.

Even {2,4,6} and odd {1,3,5} share no outcomes. They are mutually exclusive and their union is the whole sample space.

02 / Use the full rule first

Dropping the overlap term needs justification.

Watch: the overlap decides the addition rule

Pause, replay or seek freely. The notes explain the same idea and stay in view.

One fair die roll: A is even; B is greater than 4.Worked example

A={2,4,6}; B={5,6}; A∩B={6}

Outcome 6 satisfies both events, so they are not mutually exclusive.

P(A∪B)=3/6+2/6−1/6=4/6=2/3

Subtract the shared outcome once.

The union is {2,4,5,6}

Counting distinct outcomes confirms the result.

01 · Disjoint sum

A is at most 2 and B is at least 5 on one fair die roll. Find P(A∪B).

Hint

The sets {1,2} and {5,6} do not overlap.

Worked solution

2/6+2/6=4/6=2/3. Outcomes 3 and 4 are outside the union.

02 · Overlap check

A is at most 4 and B is at least 3. Find their intersection and union probabilities.

Hint

List both sets.

Worked solution

Intersection={3,4}, probability 2/6=1/3. Union={1,2,3,4,5,6}, probability 1. These events are exhaustive but not mutually exclusive.

03 / Disjoint does not always mean complementary

Complements must also cover every outcome.

A and A′ are mutually exclusive and exhaustive.

Exhaustive means their union is the whole sample space.

03 · Not complements

Why are “at most 2” and “at least 5” not complements?

Hint

Which outcomes are left out?

Worked solution

They exclude 3 and 4 from their union. The complement of at most 2 is greater than 2, namely {3,4,5,6}.

04 · Complement probability

If P(A)=0.37, find P(A′).

Hint

A and A′ partition the sample space.

Worked solution

P(A′)=1−0.37=0.63.

04 / More than two disjoint events

Pairwise exclusivity lets their probabilities add.

A fair die is classified as low {1,2}, middle {3,4}, high {5,6}.Worked example

The categories are pairwise disjoint

No result belongs to two categories.

They are exhaustive

Every possible result belongs to one category.

Each has probability 1/3 and the total is1

Together they form a partition.

05 · Missing category

Three disjoint exhaustive events have probabilities 0.18,0.47 and p. Find p.

Hint

Their probabilities sum to 1.

Worked solution

p=1−0.18−0.47=0.35.

06 · Not exhaustive

Three pairwise-disjoint events have probabilities 0.18,0.47 and 0.20. What is the probability of none?

Hint

Their union has probability 0.85.

Worked solution

P(none)=1−(0.18+0.47+0.20)=0.15.

05 / Exclusivity and independence answer different questions

Cannot happen together is different from does not change the probability.

Independence requires P(A ∩ B)=P(A)P(B).

If both probabilities are positive, mutually exclusive events cannot be independent.

On one fair die roll, even and odd each have probability 1/2.Worked example

Their intersection probability is0

They cannot occur together.

P(even)P(odd)=1/4

This is not equal to the intersection probability.

Therefore they are not independent

Knowing the result is even rules out odd.

07 · Independent overlap

Let A be even and B be a multiple of 3 on one fair die roll. Are these independent?

Hint

Compare the intersection probability with the product.

Worked solution

A={2,4,6}, B={3,6}, intersection={6}. P(A∩B)=1/6=(1/2)(1/3), so yes. They are not mutually exclusive because6 is shared.

08 · Zero-probability edge

The empty event is disjoint from every event. Can it also be independent of an event B?

Hint

Compare0 with0×P(B).

Worked solution

Yes. Both equal0. The statement that exclusive events cannot be independent needs both probabilities to be positive.

06 / Define events precisely

Conditions on different trials are different events.

09 · Two rolls

On two independent fair die rolls, A means first roll even and B means second roll odd. Are they mutually exclusive?

Hint

Give an outcome in both.

Worked solution

No: the ordered outcome (2,3) satisfies both. They are independent and P(A∩B)=1/4.

10 · Disjoint probability bounds

Can two mutually exclusive events have probabilities 0.7 and 0.5?

Hint

Their union must have probability at most 1.

Worked solution

No. Their probabilities would add to 1.2. Such events must overlap by at least 0.2.

07 / Explain the rule you choose

Check shared outcomes before adding.

11 · Is zero enough?

In a finite sample space where every outcome has positive probability, P(A∩B)=0. What follows?

Hint

A nonempty intersection would contain a positive-probability outcome.

Worked solution

The intersection must be empty, so the events are mutually exclusive. This inference uses the stated positive-probability finite setting.

12 · Exactly one for disjoint events

If A and B are mutually exclusive with probabilities 0.25 and 0.4, find the probability of exactly one.

Hint

Both is impossible.

Worked solution

Exactly one equals the union, giving 0.25+0.4=0.65.

08 / State the experiment and inspect the overlap

The special addition rule follows from disjointness.

Mutually exclusive events cannot occur together. Complementary events are also exhaustive. Independence concerns a product rule for the intersection, so positive-probability exclusive events are dependent. Use a short outcome list to test your interpretation.

Section 1 of 8 · Can both events happen?