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Statistics review: sampling and summaries

Cumulative original practice combining sample design, grouped estimates, percentile interpolation, coding and careful interpretation of weather summaries.

Before you startData collection, measures of location and spread, and data representations.

01 / Identify the assumption behind each method

Work with the solutions closed first.

Some answers are exact descriptions; others are estimates.

Distinguish proportional sample calculations from assumptions about within-class positions or the relevance of a dataset. The numerical datasets here are constructed for practice.

Audit a sampling proposalExplore

A constructed organisation has 400 technical and 800 other staff. A survey needs 60 staff opinions.

Reveal the audit

02 / Choose a sample that fits the population

A large convenient sample can still be biased.

01 · Census

Explain one benefit and one cost of surveying all 1200 staff.

Hint

A census includes the full target population.

Worked solution

It avoids selecting only a subset, but collecting and processing every response takes more time and resources. Nonresponse or inaccurate answers can still affect a census.

02 · Proportional strata

Find the numbers in a proportionally stratified sample of 60 from groups of 400 and 800.

Hint

Multiply 60 by each population fraction.

Worked solution

Technical: 60×400/1200=20. Other staff: 60×800/1200=40. Select appropriately within each stratum.

03 · Opportunity bias

Why might the first 60 arrivals misrepresent all staff?

Hint

Arrival time may relate to job role or shift.

Worked solution

It favours particular arrival patterns and may exclude later shifts. Increasing this convenient sample does not automatically remove the selection bias.

04 · Systematic design

Describe a systematic sample of 60 from an ordered list of 1200 names.

Hint

Use an interval and a random start.

Worked solution

Choose a random start from 1 to 20, then take every twentieth name. Check that the list ordering has no periodic pattern aligned with the interval.

03 / Combine grouped means and standard deviations

Midpoints represent unknown values within each class.

A constructed table has classes 0≤t<10, 10≤t<20 and 20≤t<40, with frequencies 4, 8 and 8. Use midpoints 5, 15 and 30. Here n=20, Σft=380 and Σft²=9100, where t denotes the class midpoint in these summaries.

05 · Mean

Estimate the mean of t.

Hint

Divide the midpoint-weighted total by the frequency.

Worked solution

380/20=19. It is an estimate because exact within-class values are unknown.

06 · Standard deviation

Estimate the standard deviation using division by n.

Hint

Variance = Σft²/n − mean².

Worked solution

Variance = 9100/20−19²=94. Standard deviation = √94≈9.695. Its units match those of t.

07 · Wrong midpoint

Why would using 25 for the final class midpoint be wrong?

Hint

Find the midpoint of both endpoints.

Worked solution

The final class is 20 to 40, so its midpoint is (20+40)/2=30. Unequal widths must be respected.

08 · Squared total

Why is Σft² not equal to (Σft)²?

Hint

One sums weighted squares; the other squares a whole sum.

Worked solution

Σft²=9100 sums each midpoint square times its frequency. (Σft)²=380² is a different quantity and cannot replace it in the variance formula.

04 / Interpolate using cumulative position

Use a stated within-class uniformity assumption.

Watch: a percentile position becomes a point inside a class

Pause, replay or seek freely. The notes explain the same idea and stay in view.

Use the same grouped table with cumulative frequencies 4, 12 and 20.Worked example

Median position = 20/2=10

This lies in the 10 to 20 class.

Median ≈ 10 + ((10−4)/8)×10 = 17.5

The fraction of this class needed is 6/8.

20th percentile position = 4; 80th = 16

P₂₀≈10 and P₈₀≈20+((16−12)/8)×20=30. The interpercentile range is about 20.

09 · Method assumption

What assumption supports these percentile estimates?

Hint

How are observations treated within a class?

Worked solution

They are assumed spread uniformly within each class. Raw values could produce different percentiles.

10 · Graph precision

Why might calculation from the table be more precise than reading a hand-drawn cumulative-frequency graph?

Hint

Both methods estimate, but one adds drawing and reading error.

Worked solution

The calculation avoids extra plotting and visual-reading error while retaining the same within-class approximation.

05 / Undo a transformation in the correct order

A shift changes the mean but not the spread.

A constructed dataset uses u=2t+3. For 10 observations, Σu=230 and Σu²=5590. Use population-style variance with division by n.

11 · Coded summaries

Calculate the mean and variance of u.

Hint

Use the totals before reversing the coding.

Worked solution

Mean u=230/10=23. Variance u=5590/10−23²=30.

12 · Original summaries

Recover the mean and standard deviation of t.

Hint

t=(u−3)/2.

Worked solution

Mean t=(23−3)/2=10. Standard deviation t=√30/2=√7.5≈2.739. Do not subtract 3 from the standard deviation.

06 / A summary alone does not justify a broad weather claim

Check variable, location, period and sampling method.

13 · Short sample

A learner takes the first five recorded days of a month and generalises to the whole season. Name two limitations.

Hint

Consider selection and dependence.

Worked solution

The dates may not represent the season; nearby days may share weather conditions. The short sample and any missing observations also limit inference.

14 · Variable mismatch

Why does a mean of daily maximum humidity not directly give the proportion of misty days?

Hint

The summary and the requested event are different.

Worked solution

A mean of maxima does not count mist events or retain their timing. A justified event definition and appropriate records would be needed.

07 / Distinguish arithmetic errors from modelling limits

State both in a review answer.

15 · Units

If t measures minutes, what units do its variance and standard deviation have?

Hint

Squaring changes units.

Worked solution

Variance is in minutes squared; standard deviation is in minutes.

16 · Exactness

Which is exact from the stated table: total frequency 20, grouped mean 19, or estimated median 17.5?

Hint

Only one requires no assumption about within-class values.

Worked solution

Total frequency 20 is exact. The grouped mean and interpolated median estimate summaries of the unknown raw observations.

08 / Choose methods deliberately

Use the error to identify your revision target.

Sampling questions need a defined population and a defensible selection method. Grouped summaries need the correct midpoints and cumulative frequencies. Coding changes location and scale differently. Interpret weather variables and sample periods before making population claims.

Section 1 of 8 · Identify the assumption behind each method