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Differential equation models: growth and decay

Build and solve exponential growth and decay models. Determine rate constants from data, calculate doubling time and half-life, convert time units and explain model limitations.

Before you startSeparable differential equations, exponential functions and logarithms.

01 / Translate “rate proportional to amount”

The rate changes as the amount changes.

dN/dt = kN → N(t) = N₀eᵏᵗ

N₀ is the amount at t = 0. Positive k gives growth; negative k gives decay.

Proportionality means the ratio of instantaneous rate to current amount stays constant. A larger amount then has a larger rate magnitude. If N is an amount and t is measured in hours, k has units per hour.

The rate depends on the current amountExplore
Exponential amount and instantaneous rateChoose an initial amount and a constant proportional rate, then inspect a time manually. Positive rates give growth, negative rates give decay and zero gives a constant amount.024 hoursN(t) = N₀eᵏᵗ · dN/dt = kN

At t = 0 hours, N = 100.

dN/dt = 20 amount units per hour.

Each hour multiplies N by 1.221403.

Doubling time = 3.465736 hours.

The constant k is a proportional instantaneous rate. It is not the same as the fractional change over one whole hour. This model assumes k stays constant and the amount remains meaningful over the period considered.

02 / Separate and apply the initial amount

The exponential family follows from a logarithmic integral.

Solve dN/dt = kN with N(0) = N₀ > 0.Worked example

dN/N = k dt

Work with the positive amount.

ln N = kt + C

Integrate.

N = Aeᵏᵗ

A is positive for this physical branch.

N(0) = A = N₀

Apply the initial amount.

N = N₀eᵏᵗ

If N₀ = 0 is allowed, check the separate equilibrium N = 0.

Watch: equal times give equal multipliers

Pause, replay or seek freely. The notes explain the same idea and stay in view.

01 · Write a decay equation

An amount decreases at a rate proportional to itself, with positive constant λ. Write the differential equation.

Hint

Decrease requires a negative rate.

Worked solution

dN/dt = −λN, with λ > 0.

03 / Find k from two measurements

Use a ratio to eliminate the unknown initial scale.

A culture model has N(0) = 1200 and N(3) = 1800. Time is in hours. Find N(t).Worked example

1800 = 1200e³ᵏ

Substitute the second measurement.

e³ᵏ = 3/2

Divide by 1200.

k = ln(3/2)/3

Take natural logarithms.

N(t) = 1200e^[t ln(3/2)/3]

Equivalently, 1200(3/2)^(t/3). The model predicts N(6) = 2700.

02 · A second growth data set

N(0) = 80 and N(4) = 160. Find k.

Hint

Use e⁴ᵏ = 2.

Worked solution

k = ln 2 / 4 per time unit.

03 · Measurements away from zero

If N(2) = 150 and N(5) = 300 in the same model, find k.

Hint

Divide N(5) by N(2).

Worked solution

e³ᵏ = 2, so k = ln 2 / 3.

04 / Find doubling time from a factor of two

The initial amount cancels.

Find the doubling time for k = ln(3/2)/3.Worked example

2N = Neᵏᴰ

Compare amounts D hours apart.

eᵏᴰ = 2 → D = ln 2 / k

This requires k > 0.

D = 3ln 2 / ln(3/2)

About 5.13 hours, not 6 hours merely because the initial measurement grew by half in three hours.

04 · Tripling time

If k = ln 2 / 4, find the tripling time.

Hint

Solve eᵏᵀ = 3.

Worked solution

T = 4ln 3 / ln 2.

05 · Independence from initial amount

Do two positive initial amounts have different doubling times when k is the same?

Hint

The amount cancels from the ratio.

Worked solution

No. Both have doubling time ln 2 / k.

05 / Use half-life for exponential decay

Choose a positive decay constant or a negative k consistently.

A quantity starts at 48 units and has half-life 6 hours.Worked example

N = 48e⁻λᵗ with λ > 0

Use the decay convention.

24 = 48e⁻⁶λ

At six hours the amount has halved.

λ = ln 2 / 6

Hence k = −ln 2 / 6.

N(t) = 48 × 2^(−t/6)

At t = 18 hours the prediction is 6 units.

06 · Quarter-life

How long does this model take to reach one quarter of its initial amount?

Hint

Two halvings give one quarter.

Worked solution

12 hours.

07 · Find a decay constant

An amount falls to 80% of its initial value in 5 days. Find k in dN/dt = kN.

Hint

e⁵ᵏ = 0.8.

Worked solution

k = ln(0.8)/5 per day, which is negative.

06 / Solve target amounts using logarithms

Check the requested time lies in the physical domain.

When does the 48-unit half-life model first fall below 5 units?Worked example

48 × 2^(−t/6) < 5

Use t ≥ 0.

−(t/6)ln 2 < ln(5/48)

Both logarithm arguments are positive.

t > 6ln(48/5)/ln 2

Reverse the inequality when dividing by the negative coefficient.

Equality gives the crossing time; below requires strictly later

Do not silently replace a strict threshold by equality.

08 · A growth threshold

For N(t) = 80 × 2^(t/4), when is N = 640?

Hint

The multiplier is 8.

Worked solution

t = 12 time units.

09 · Can decay reach zero?

Does N₀e⁻λᵗ with N₀ > 0 and λ > 0 reach zero at a finite time?

Hint

The exponential is positive for every finite input.

Worked solution

No. It approaches zero as t tends to infinity. Real measurements may have a detection threshold that the ideal model does not represent.

07 / Convert k when the time unit changes

The exponent must be dimensionless.

A model uses k = 0.12 per day. Rewrite it with time h in hours.Worked example

t in days = h/24

Convert the independent variable.

N = N₀e^(0.12h/24)

Substitute into the exponent.

k = 0.005 per hour

The same physical model uses a different numerical rate constant.

10 · Hours to minutes

Convert k = −0.3 per hour to a rate per minute.

Hint

One hour contains 60 minutes.

Worked solution

k = −0.005 per minute.

08 / Distinguish instantaneous rate from interval change

A unit-time multiplier is eᵏ, not 1 + k.

If k = 0.2 per hour, what is the one-hour percentage increase?Worked example

N(t + 1)/N(t) = e^0.2

Use the ratio of exponential values.

Fractional increase = e^0.2 − 1

Subtract the original amount fraction.

Percentage increase ≈ 22.14%

It is not exactly 20%; k describes the instantaneous proportional rate.

11 · Calibrate from a percentage change

A model increases by 10% over each hour. Find its continuous k.

Hint

Set eᵏ = 1.1.

Worked solution

k = ln 1.1 per hour.

12 · Equal intervals

Why are percentage changes over equal time intervals constant in this model?

Hint

Form N(t + Δt)/N(t).

Worked solution

The ratio is e^(kΔt), independent of the starting time t.

09 / Calculate an instantaneous rate from the current amount

Use kN at the requested time.

In the culture model, find the growth rate at t = 3 hours.Worked example

N(3) = 1800 and k = ln(3/2)/3

Use the calibrated values.

dN/dt = kN = 600ln(3/2)

This is about 243.28 amount units per hour.

The average increase over the first three hours was 200 per hour

An instantaneous rate differs from an interval average.

13 · A decay rate

For N′ = −0.1N, what is the instantaneous rate when N = 70?

Hint

Substitute the current amount.

Worked solution

−7 amount units per time unit.

10 / State the assumptions behind the exponential

A fitted model can fail outside the observed range.

Constant k assumes the same proportional mechanism persists. Growth may slow because of limited nutrients, space or other constraints; decay may involve several mechanisms. Data can be noisy, and a smooth real-valued model may only approximate a count of individual objects. Explain these limitations in the context of the question.

14 · A limiting resource

Why can unlimited exponential population growth become unrealistic?

Hint

Consider the environment sustaining the growth.

Worked solution

Resources and space may become limiting, so the proportional growth constant need not remain fixed.

15 · Extrapolation

Does matching two measurements prove the model will remain accurate much later?

Hint

A fit does not verify future assumptions.

Worked solution

No. Later conditions may change; predictions need contextual validation.

11 / Translate the rate, calibrate, then interpret

Keep signs, units and assumptions visible.

  • Use N′ = kN for proportional growth or decay.
  • Apply the initial value in N = N₀eᵏᵗ.
  • Find k from ratios and logarithms.
  • Use ln 2/k for growth doubling, or ln 2/λ for decay half-life.
  • Convert the time unit and k together.
  • Distinguish instantaneous rate from finite percentage change.
  • Check physical time domains and model limitations.

16 · A final calibration

A quantity starts at 200 and falls to 50 after 8 hours. Give its half-life and model.

Hint

The amount has undergone two halvings.

Worked solution

Half-life 4 hours; N(t) = 200 × 2^(−t/4), for t ≥ 0 within the model’s valid period.

Section 1 of 11 · Translate “rate proportional to amount”